Campeonato de Portugal Grupo D. Jor. 11

RD Agueda vs Mortágua analysis

RD Agueda Mortágua
34 ELO 35
-5.8% Tilt -4.6%
24481º General ELO ranking 6265º
429º Country ELO ranking 120º
ELO win probability
49.1%
RD Agueda
22.3%
Draw
28.7%
Mortágua

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
RD Agueda
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
28.7%
Win probability
Mortágua
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
RD Agueda
-32%
+38%
Mortágua

ELO progression

RD Agueda
Mortágua
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

RD Agueda
RD Agueda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2016
GAF
Gafanha
1 - 1
RD Agueda
RDA
48%
23%
29%
35 36 1 0
06 Nov. 2016
ACA
Acad. Coimbra/S.Futebol
1 - 3
RD Agueda
RDA
45%
22%
33%
33 31 2 +2
30 Oct. 2016
RDA
RD Agueda
1 - 3
Anadia
ANA
36%
26%
39%
35 41 6 -2
23 Oct. 2016
PAM
Pampilhosa
0 - 3
RD Agueda
RDA
56%
21%
24%
34 36 2 +1
16 Oct. 2016
VAR
Varzim
3 - 0
RD Agueda
RDA
74%
18%
8%
34 58 24 0

Matches

Mortágua
Mortágua
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2016
MOR
Mortágua
4 - 2
Tourizense
TOU
44%
26%
30%
34 36 2 0
06 Nov. 2016
MOR
Mortágua
4 - 0
AD Nogueirense
ADN
40%
26%
34%
32 34 2 +2
30 Oct. 2016
GOU
Gouveia
0 - 0
Mortágua
MOR
45%
22%
32%
33 30 3 -1
23 Oct. 2016
MOR
Mortágua
3 - 2
Lusitano FCV
LUS
32%
25%
43%
32 38 6 +1
16 Oct. 2016
MOR
Mortágua
0 - 1
Cova Piedade
COV
10%
18%
72%
32 55 23 0
X