Champions League Last 16
Global 1-2
RB Leipzig vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
59.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 2
RBL
11%
19%
70%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 0
FCU
71%
18%
12%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
STU
5 - 2
RBL
20%
22%
58%
|
94 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
RBL
2 - 3
LEV
47%
24%
29%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
RBL
0 - 1
EIN
64%
20%
17%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RMA
4 - 0
GIR
76%
15%
9%
|
99 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RMA
1 - 1
ATM
63%
20%
17%
|
99 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
GET
0 - 2
RMA
6%
17%
77%
|
99 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
UDL
1 - 2
RMA
7%
17%
76%
|
99 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
RMA
3 - 2
ALM
83%
12%
5%
|
98 | 79 | 19 | +1 |