RB Leipzig vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
2º
7º
7º
29
1º
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
51 | 51 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 51 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
43 | 43 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
40 | 40 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
25 | 25 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
AUG
0 - 0
RBL
12%
18%
70%
|
98 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
RBL
2 - 0
STP
75%
16%
9%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FCU
0 - 0
RBL
12%
19%
69%
|
97 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
STR
1 - 0
RBL
4%
11%
85%
|
97 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
RBL
2 - 2
LEV
33%
24%
43%
|
97 | 99 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2025 |
HEI
1 - 3
FCK
56%
21%
23%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
HEI
0 - 2
M05
29%
24%
48%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2025 |
FCK
1 - 2
HEI
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SCF
1 - 0
HEI
61%
21%
18%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
HEI
1 - 2
BVB
13%
18%
69%
|
87 | 96 | 9 | 0 |