RB Leipzig vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
43.9%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RB Leipzig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
RBL
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
BRE
1 - 2
RBL
10%
18%
73%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
RBL
2 - 0
STU
62%
21%
17%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
KOL
2 - 1
RBL
12%
18%
71%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
RBL
0 - 0
HOF
54%
23%
23%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2021 |
BVB
3 - 2
RBL
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
BVB
5 - 0
HOL
77%
15%
9%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 2
BVB
20%
21%
58%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BVB
2 - 0
FCU
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BVB
4 - 1
BRE
67%
19%
15%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |