Rayo vs Alcabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.8%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.3%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
13.4%
12.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
3-7
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 2
RAY
25%
19%
56%
|
8 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 6
RAY
57%
19%
24%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
RAY
1 - 6
ESC
54%
20%
27%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
RAY
5 - 2
TAL
59%
19%
22%
|
6 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ORO
3 - 4
RAY
48%
21%
32%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Alcabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ALC
1 - 3
POL
27%
21%
52%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
VEL
5 - 0
ALC
44%
21%
35%
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
POL
3 - 0
ALC
62%
19%
19%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ALC
0 - 4
TOR
29%
21%
51%
|
5 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
GUA
7 - 1
ALC
55%
19%
26%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |