Rayo Vallecano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
BAS
2 - 1
RAY
69%
18%
13%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
SAB
31%
29%
40%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
RAC
0 - 0
RAY
74%
16%
10%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
DEP
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
SSC
3 - 0
RAY
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
ELC
2 - 0
HER
68%
18%
15%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
HER
2 - 1
MUR
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
PUL
0 - 0
HER
58%
21%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
HER
1 - 0
RJA
51%
23%
26%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
EXT
1 - 1
HER
61%
20%
19%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |