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La Liga. Matchday 11

Rayo Vallecano vs Barcelona analysis

Rayo Vallecano Barcelona
64 ELO 95
17% Tilt 16%
453º General ELO ranking
28º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
9.6%
Rayo Vallecano
14.4%
Draw
76%
Barcelona

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.6%
Win probability
Rayo Vallecano
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
76%
Win probability
Barcelona
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
5.5%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
16.1%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rayo Vallecano
+63%
-18%
Barcelona

Points and table prediction

Rayo Vallecano
Their league position
Barcelona
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
19º
15
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
20
64
7%
Osasuna
18
60
8%
Real Madrid
17
91
1%
Sevilla
17
67
7%
Atlético
17
71
9%
Rayo Vallecano
16
58
6%
Athletic
16
53
11º
6%
Barcelona
15
75
4%
Real Betis
15
61
5%
Valencia
10º
13
64
5%
Espanyol
11º
13
42
13º
5%
Mallorca
12º
12
38
15º
6%
Villarreal
13º
11
55
10º
5%
Elche
14º
10
35
17º
6%
Celta
15º
7
40
14º
6%
Granada
16º
7
43
12º
7%
Cádiz
17º
7
36
16º
6%
Alavés
18º
6
23
20º
8%
Levante
19º
5
35
18º
8%
Getafe
20º
2
25
19º
9%
Expected probabilities
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona
Champion
3% 35%
Champions League
19% 31%
Europa League
6% 7%
Europa Conference League
6% 4%
Mid-table
55% 22%
Relegation
12% 2%

ELO progression

Barcelona
FCB
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Alavés
ALA
Celta
CEL
R. Sociedad
RSO
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
1%
X%
2%
ELO RAY ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Elche
ELC
47%
27%
26%
1586 1646 -60 +12
06 Oct. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
2 - 1
Rayo Majadahonda
MAJ
72%
18%
11%
1579 466 1113 +7
02 Oct. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
1 - 0
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
61%
22%
17%
1585 2201 616 -6
26 Sep. 2021
RAY
Rayo Vallecano
3 - 1
Cádiz
CAD
39%
28%
33%
1562 1964 -402 +23
21 Sep. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 2
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
72%
18%
11%
1541 2560 1019 +21

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
84%
11%
5%
3492 1876 1616 +6
17 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 1
Valencia
VCF
73%
18%
10%
3483 2661 822 +7
13 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 2
Cornellà
COR
74%
15%
11%
3507 558 2949 -25
02 Oct. 2021
ATM
Atlético
2 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
46%
27%
27%
3526 3264 -262 -19
29 Sep. 2021
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
42%
27%
31%
3575 3187 -388 -46