Rayo Vallecano vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.7%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
RAY
4 - 0
GRA
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
RSO
1 - 0
RAY
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SEV
3 - 0
RAY
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 1
RAY
40%
27%
33%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
VAD
3 - 1
RAY
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
MAL
1 - 0
ALC
49%
29%
22%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ALC
0 - 2
FUE
40%
29%
31%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
PON
1 - 0
ALC
44%
28%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LEG
2 - 0
ALC
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
ALC
2 - 1
IBI
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |