Rayo Vallecano B vs CD Ursaria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
7º
16º
12º
65
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
67 | 70 |
1º
|
93% | |
|
|
2º
|
65 | 68 |
2º
|
93% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
46% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
58% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
69.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
28% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 32 |
14º
|
32.5% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 32 |
15º
|
32% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 93% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Vallecano B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 0
RVB
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RVB
1 - 2
TRJ
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
CDM
1 - 1
RVB
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
RVB
2 - 1
CVI
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
3 - 1
RVB
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
CD Ursaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
URS
1 - 0
GAL
61%
22%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
LRZ
0 - 3
URS
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
URS
1 - 1
ALC
53%
24%
23%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
URS
1 - 0
RMA
64%
20%
16%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 3
URS
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |