Raufoss II vs Ullern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
73.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.5%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-71%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raufoss II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
MOD
3 - 2
RAU
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
RAU
1 - 2
MJO
14%
17%
69%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
LOM
2 - 1
RAU
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
RAU
1 - 5
JEV
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
HBK
3 - 0
RAU
68%
17%
15%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2013 |
ULL
6 - 2
BAE
81%
12%
7%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2013 |
ULL
1 - 0
MOD
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
MJO
5 - 4
ULL
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Aug. 2013 |
ULL
2 - 1
LOM
69%
17%
14%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
JEV
5 - 0
ULL
44%
22%
35%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |