Rapid Wien vs Sturm Graz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
31.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
7º
5º
48
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 28 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rapid Wien
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
0 - 1
FCV
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
FCV
1 - 1
RAP
21%
22%
57%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
LAS
2 - 1
RAP
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
2 - 0
FKN
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
RAP
1 - 1
SCA
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Sturm Graz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
STR
0 - 1
LAS
43%
24%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STR
4 - 0
ALT
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
STR
1 - 2
DYN
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
RIE
1 - 1
STR
31%
25%
44%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2022 |
DYN
1 - 0
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |