Raon-l'Etape vs Stade de Reims II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
9º
13º
12º
48
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
73.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
RAO
3 - 3
REI
46%
22%
32%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
RAO
1 - 0
MEZ
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MET
3 - 0
RAO
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RAO
1 - 5
NAN
61%
20%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
STR
1 - 2
RAO
49%
22%
29%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stade de Reims II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
REI
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
REI
1 - 3
MET
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
THL
69%
16%
16%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NAN
1 - 1
REI
39%
23%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
REI
1 - 1
STR
57%
20%
23%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |