Randers vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
19.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Randers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
BIF
3 - 0
RAN
60%
22%
18%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
RAN
0 - 0
OBK
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
RAN
1 - 0
ESB
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AAB
1 - 2
RAN
62%
22%
17%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
RAN
5 - 1
ACH
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
AGF
3 - 1
ESB
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2009 |
AAB
1 - 1
AGF
69%
20%
11%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2009 |
OBK
6 - 1
AGF
64%
23%
13%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AGF
1 - 0
FCN
42%
26%
32%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
SON
0 - 3
AGF
48%
25%
28%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |