3. Division Grupo 4 round 9

Rana FK vs Melhus analysis

Rana FK Melhus
41 ELO 25
5.1% Tilt 5.1%
6144º General ELO ranking 10289º
79º Country ELO ranking 126º
ELO win probability
78.3%
Rana FK
13.1%
Draw
8.6%
Melhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
Rana FK
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.6%
Win probability
Melhus
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rana FK
+38%
+15%
Melhus

Points and table prediction

Rana FK
Their league position
Melhus
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
62
42
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rana FK
62
62
100%
Nardo
59
59
100%
Trygg/Lade
54
54
100%
Melhus
42
42
100%
Strømsgodset II
40
40
100%
Lillestrom II
38
38
0%
Tiller IL
38
38
0%
Rosenborg II
35
35
100%
Stabæk II
32
32
100%
Byåsen
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Surnadal
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Verdal
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Orkla
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Mosjøen
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rana FK
Melhus
Promotion
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rana FK
Melhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rana FK
Rana FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2024
VER
Verdal
1 - 4
Rana FK
RFK
15%
17%
68%
40 20 20 0
16 May. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
1 - 1
Mosjøen
MOS
81%
12%
8%
40 17 23 0
12 May. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
3 - 0
Strømsgodset II
STR
38%
23%
40%
38 41 3 +2
05 May. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
4 - 2
Rana FK
RFK
31%
21%
48%
39 31 8 -1
27 Apr. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
2 - 1
Nardo
NAR
44%
24%
33%
38 41 3 +1

Matches

Melhus
Melhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 May. 2024
MEL
Melhus
2 - 2
Rosenborg II
ROS
45%
21%
34%
25 24 1 0
20 May. 2024
MEL
Melhus
2 - 2
Byåsen
BYA
17%
19%
65%
24 38 14 +1
11 May. 2024
VER
Verdal
1 - 4
Melhus
MEL
46%
24%
30%
23 22 1 +1
04 May. 2024
MEL
Melhus
0 - 3
Orkla
ORK
49%
22%
30%
24 22 2 -1
27 Apr. 2024
SKT
Trygg/Lade
0 - 0
Melhus
MEL
39%
23%
38%
24 20 4 0