III Liga Grupo 3. Jor. 22

Rakow Czestochowa II vs Zielona Góra analysis

Rakow Czestochowa II Zielona Góra
47 ELO 45
-4.7% Tilt -5.6%
5677º General ELO ranking 4914º
112º Country ELO ranking 89º
ELO win probability
50%
Rakow Czestochowa II
23.9%
Draw
26.1%
Zielona Góra

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50%
Win probability
Rakow Czestochowa II
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
26.1%
Win probability
Zielona Góra
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rakow Czestochowa II
-51%
-22%
Zielona Góra

Points and table prediction

Rakow Czestochowa II
Their league position
Zielona Góra
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
47
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
TS Polonia Bytom
75
75
100%
Rakow Czestochowa II
65
65
100%
Rekord Bielsko Biała
65
65
100%
Ślęza Wrocław
60
60
100%
Carina Gubin
54
54
100%
Górnik Zabrze II
51
51
100%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
51
51
100%
Kluczbork
48
48
100%
Zielona Góra
47
47
100%
Pawłowice Śląskie
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Goczałkowice Zdrój
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Stilon Gorzów
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Warta Gorzów
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Stal Brzeg
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Polonia Nysa
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Miedz Legnica II
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Odra Wodzislaw Slaski
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Chrobry Glogow II
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rakow Czestochowa II
Zielona Góra
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Rakow Czestochowa II
Zielona Góra
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rakow Czestochowa II
Rakow Czestochowa II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Mar. 2023
SGO
Stilon Gorzów
0 - 0
Rakow Czestochowa II
RAK
17%
22%
61%
47 31 16 0
18 Mar. 2023
RAK
Rakow Czestochowa II
1 - 2
Stal Brzeg
STB
79%
14%
7%
47 27 20 0
11 Mar. 2023
WRO
Ślęza Wrocław
1 - 0
Rakow Czestochowa II
RAK
59%
21%
20%
48 50 2 -1
04 Mar. 2023
KLU
Kluczbork
2 - 1
Rakow Czestochowa II
RAK
23%
23%
53%
49 37 12 -1
19 Nov. 2022
GOR
Górnik Zabrze II
0 - 2
Rakow Czestochowa II
RAK
27%
24%
49%
48 40 8 +1

Matches

Zielona Góra
Zielona Góra
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Mar. 2023
ZIE
Zielona Góra
0 - 4
Górnik Zabrze II
GOR
60%
22%
18%
45 36 9 0
22 Mar. 2023
GOR
Warta Gorzów
0 - 4
Zielona Góra
ZIE
17%
23%
60%
44 31 13 +1
19 Mar. 2023
MKC
Chrobry Glogow II
0 - 2
Zielona Góra
ZIE
24%
23%
53%
44 31 13 0
04 Mar. 2023
REK
Rekord Bielsko Biała
3 - 0
Zielona Góra
ZIE
64%
20%
16%
45 50 5 -1
28 Feb. 2023
ZIE
Zielona Góra
0 - 3
Legia Warszawa
WAR
8%
17%
75%
45 78 33 0
X