Scottish Premiership Promotion . Quarter-finals

Global 2-0

Raith Rovers vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis

Raith Rovers Dunfermline Athletic FC
63 ELO 61
15.3% Tilt 3.9%
1115º General ELO ranking 1812º
13º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
50.4%
Raith Rovers
22.7%
Draw
26.9%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
Raith Rovers
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
26.9%
Win probability
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Raith Rovers
-9%
-8%
Dunfermline Athletic FC

ELO progression

Raith Rovers
Dunfermline Athletic FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Raith Rovers
Raith Rovers
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2021
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
42%
24%
34%
61 62 1 0
30 Apr. 2021
RAI
Raith Rovers
0 - 4
Heart of Midlothian
HOM
36%
27%
37%
62 71 9 -1
24 Apr. 2021
DUN
Dundee
2 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
42%
26%
32%
63 62 1 -1
17 Apr. 2021
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
22%
25%
54%
63 51 12 0
13 Apr. 2021
QOS
Queen of the South
0 - 1
Raith Rovers
RAI
39%
25%
36%
62 58 4 +1

Matches

Dunfermline Athletic FC
Dunfermline Athletic FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 2021
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 0
Raith Rovers
RAI
42%
24%
34%
62 61 1 0
30 Apr. 2021
ALL
Alloa Athletic
1 - 0
Dunfermline Athletic FC
DUN
24%
26%
50%
63 50 13 -1
24 Apr. 2021
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
4 - 3
Arbroath
ARB
55%
25%
20%
62 57 5 +1
17 Apr. 2021
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
3 - 1
Queen of the South
QOS
50%
25%
25%
61 57 4 +1
13 Apr. 2021
DUN
Dunfermline Athletic FC
0 - 0
Dundee
DUN
42%
27%
31%
61 61 0 0
X