Rain / Lech vs Heimstetten analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
ROS
1 - 1
RAI
63%
21%
16%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
AUG
1 - 0
RAI
76%
16%
9%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 5
MEM
33%
27%
40%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 0
RAI
74%
17%
9%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
RAI
1 - 1
SEL
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Heimstetten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
BAY
5 - 0
HEI
71%
18%
11%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
HEI
4 - 1
SCH
43%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
HEI
36%
25%
40%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
ROS
2 - 1
HEI
45%
24%
31%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2013 |
HEI
1 - 1
EIN
35%
24%
42%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |