Rain / Lech vs Greuther Fürth II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rain / Lech
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
ILL
1 - 1
RAI
49%
22%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
BUC
4 - 0
RAI
75%
15%
11%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 2
VIK
22%
23%
56%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -2 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
SCH
5 - 1
RAI
82%
12%
6%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 4
BAY
24%
22%
53%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 3
BUC
31%
25%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2021 |
VIK
2 - 2
GRE
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 4
SCH
21%
23%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | -2 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
0 - 5
BAY
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
GRE
1 - 1
ROS
70%
18%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |