Radnički Obrenovac vs OFK Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
68.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.8%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.4%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+91%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
11º
16º
11º
67
1º
12º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
67 | 67 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
67 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 12 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Radnički Obrenovac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BSK
2 - 2
RAD
67%
19%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
JED
3 - 0
RAD
66%
19%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 3
SGR
31%
23%
46%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
RAD
0 - 4
ZEM
17%
21%
62%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BUD
1 - 0
RAD
80%
14%
5%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
OFK Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
BEO
1 - 1
FKT
45%
24%
31%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
BEO
0 - 0
PRV
72%
18%
11%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
BRO
0 - 1
BEO
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
STV
0 - 3
BEO
15%
20%
65%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BEO
2 - 1
TEL
66%
20%
14%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | +1 |