Racing vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
49.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
ATH
2 - 1
RAC
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CAT
0 - 4
RAC
13%
21%
65%
|
52 | 33 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
RAC
0 - 0
BUR
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RUN
2 - 2
RAC
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
CAY
0 - 3
RAC
16%
23%
61%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NUM
5 - 0
UDM
76%
16%
7%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NUM
2 - 0
MAJ
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CLH
1 - 2
NUM
19%
23%
58%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
NUM
1 - 3
OSA
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
ATM
1 - 1
NUM
82%
14%
5%
|
61 | 92 | 31 | 0 |