Racing vs Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
CUL
1 - 0
RAC
39%
25%
37%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
SPO
1 - 0
RAC
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
RAC
2 - 0
CEL
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ENS
0 - 1
RAC
29%
26%
46%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
REC
2 - 1
RAC
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
PEG
0 - 1
ATM
12%
16%
72%
|
85 | 47 | 38 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
SEV
76%
15%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
RAY
1 - 3
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
ATM
4 - 2
CDT
93%
6%
1%
|
85 | 35 | 50 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 2
RSO
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |