Racing Mechelen vs Ethe Belmont analysis


55	ELO	37
6.8%	Tilt	1.6%
3715º	General ELO ranking	8409º
61º	Country ELO ranking	249º
ELO win probability

76.8%

Racing Mechelen

15%

Draw

8.3%

Ethe Belmont

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

76.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%

15%

Draw

0-0

4.1%

1-1

7.1%

2-2

3.1%

3-3

0.6%

4-4

0.1%

0

15%

8.3%

Win probability

0.7

Expected goals

0-1

2.8%

1-2

2.5%

2-3

0.7%

3-4

0.1%

-1

6.1%

0-2

1%

1-3

0.6%

2-4

0.1%

3-5

0%

-2

1.7%

0-3

0.2%

1-4

0.1%

2-5

0%

-3

0.3%

0-4

0%

1-5

0%

-4

0.1%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Racing Mechelen

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
13 Aug. 2014	RAC 0 - 1 WOL 49% 24% 27%	56	54	2	0
10 Aug. 2014	EEA 2 - 1 RAC 39% 26% 35%	56	53	3	0
03 Aug. 2014	RAC 0 - 1 LEU 31% 26% 43%	57	66	9	-1
04 May. 2014	RAC 3 - 0 GEA 72% 17% 10%	55	45	10	+2
27 Apr. 2014	IZE 2 - 2 RAC 20% 24% 55%	56	38	18	-1