Racing Club Warwick vs Newport Pagnell Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
14.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Club Warwick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RCW
2 - 0
DAV
84%
11%
5%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
LEI
4 - 2
RCW
11%
18%
71%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | -3 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
RCW
1 - 0
WEL
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
GOD
0 - 3
RCW
8%
16%
76%
|
35 | 13 | 22 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
STN
1 - 1
RCW
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newport Pagnell Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
STN
36%
24%
40%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
RBF
2 - 4
NEW
27%
21%
53%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
EYN
0 - 0
NEW
9%
15%
75%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
2 - 3
OAD
68%
18%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 1
MTU
46%
23%
32%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | 0 |