Racing Ferrol vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
29.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
CER
1 - 1
RCF
16%
25%
60%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
RCF
1 - 0
BOU
42%
26%
31%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CEL
1 - 0
RCF
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
RCF
3 - 0
ATB
33%
25%
42%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
ADA
1 - 1
RCF
45%
27%
29%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 1
SSR
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FUE
0 - 2
CDT
58%
24%
17%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
CDT
0 - 0
VAL
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
CDT
2 - 3
CER
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BOU
1 - 0
CDT
36%
28%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |