Racing Ferrol vs Atl. Astorga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.2%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
RAC
3 - 1
RCF
63%
23%
14%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
RCF
1 - 1
COX
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
RCF
6 - 2
CEL
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
COM
0 - 2
RCF
25%
27%
48%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
RCF
3 - 1
LEA
69%
19%
13%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Atl. Astorga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
AST
1 - 1
COM
51%
24%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
LEA
1 - 0
AST
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
AST
1 - 5
TUD
24%
25%
52%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
CPC
1 - 1
AST
58%
23%
19%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
AST
2 - 0
CDG
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |