Racing Castrelos vs UVCD Candean analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
20.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+85%
+115%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Racing Castrelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
4 - 1
CAS
52%
22%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
4 - 0
GUI
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TYD
0 - 5
CAS
36%
24%
40%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAS
6 - 4
CUN
30%
23%
48%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LGU
3 - 1
CAS
39%
22%
38%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
UVCD Candean
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
5 - 1
GOI
26%
23%
52%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
CAL
1 - 1
CAN
79%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
0 - 3
ALE
43%
24%
33%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CAN
1 - 3
UMI
17%
21%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CUN
2 - 2
CAN
62%
20%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |