Copa del Rey . 1/128
Global 3-2
Rayo Cantabria vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rayo Cantabria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
RAC
1 - 0
AVI
53%
27%
20%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
PON
3 - 2
RAC
67%
22%
12%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
RAC
4 - 1
SPO
74%
17%
9%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
NAV
4 - 2
RAC
53%
28%
19%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAR
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
SMA
2 - 0
CAS
46%
28%
27%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
1 - 1
RAC
40%
26%
34%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
CAS
3 - 0
PIL
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ROB
3 - 0
CAS
63%
22%
15%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | -1 |