Quorn vs Newcastle Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
50.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
QUO
2 - 3
COA
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ILK
2 - 0
QUO
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
SHE
1 - 0
QUO
16%
24%
60%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
QUO
0 - 5
GRA
26%
24%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -3 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
QUO
3 - 3
KID
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2011 |
LEE
1 - 0
NEW
34%
24%
43%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 2
STA
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 2
NEW
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
2 - 4
HUC
69%
18%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 5
LOU
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |