Quilmes vs Independiente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
41.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
HUR
1 - 2
QUI
61%
22%
18%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1979 |
QUI
0 - 0
NOB
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 1978 |
ATL
2 - 0
QUI
48%
25%
27%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -2 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
QUI
1 - 1
ALV
70%
20%
10%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 0
QUI
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
IND
1 - 2
ALB
75%
17%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1979 |
IND
1 - 3
FER
70%
18%
13%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 1979 |
IND
2 - 0
RIV
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
RIV
0 - 0
IND
52%
24%
24%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1979 |
TAL
1 - 2
IND
56%
22%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |