Quilmes vs Rosario Central analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
VEL
4 - 0
QUI
63%
22%
14%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 2
SLO
33%
27%
40%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
QUI
1 - 0
IND
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
QUI
0 - 0
TAL
37%
27%
36%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
LAN
0 - 0
QUI
53%
26%
21%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rosario Central
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
CEN
0 - 1
NOB
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
ARS
3 - 1
CEN
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
CEN
1 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
SLO
0 - 0
CEN
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |