Quilmes vs Ben Hur analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
IRV
1 - 2
QUI
31%
29%
40%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
QUI
1 - 0
TAL
68%
21%
12%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2007 |
ALD
0 - 0
QUI
32%
29%
40%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
QUI
5 - 0
ALM
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +3 |
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
PLA
1 - 1
QUI
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ben Hur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
INS
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 1
IRV
34%
27%
39%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
2 - 2
FER
50%
26%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
TAL
3 - 1
BHU
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BHU
0 - 0
ALD
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |