Quilmes vs Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.9%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.4%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
36.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quilmes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TEM
2 - 3
QUI
30%
29%
42%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 0
FLA
59%
24%
17%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
GIM
3 - 1
QUI
31%
29%
41%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 1
QUI
69%
19%
12%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
QUI
2 - 0
ALM
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 0
INS
51%
27%
22%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
BEL
15%
28%
57%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 3
MIT
64%
24%
13%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
FER
2 - 0
BEL
25%
30%
45%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 1
IRV
55%
26%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | -1 |