Quick vs Pancratius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 2
NIE
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
ADO
2 - 1
QUI
35%
24%
41%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
2 - 1
SCN
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
FCB
5 - 1
QUI
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
QUI
4 - 1
GDA
66%
19%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Pancratius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PAN
4 - 1
NIE
49%
22%
28%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 1
ADO
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 1
PAN
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
PAN
2 - 4
FCB
39%
23%
38%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GDA
5 - 3
PAN
35%
24%
41%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -2 |