QRM vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
QRM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
QUE
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
QUE
2 - 2
VCH
69%
19%
13%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
ORL
0 - 0
QUE
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
QUE
2 - 0
CAR
61%
22%
18%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
QUE
3 - 2
GUI
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
AVR
4 - 0
QUC
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
LAV
1 - 0
AVR
54%
25%
21%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
AVR
0 - 0
CAE
37%
26%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
LEH
1 - 0
AVR
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
AVR
3 - 1
LOR
54%
24%
22%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |