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Championship. Matchday 26

Queens Park Rangers Derby County
54 ELO 60
-6% Tilt -8%
699º General ELO ranking 524º
39º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
39.7%
Queens Park Rangers
29%
Draw
31.3%
Derby County

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
Queens Park Rangers
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.7%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
31.3%
Win probability
Derby County
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Queens Park Rangers
-19%
-54%
Derby County

Basic stats

56
44
POS
12
6
SOT
8
5
COR
0
1
GF
1
0
GC
54
60
ELO
1.2
1
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Queens Park Rangers
Their league position
Derby County
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
68
20º
44
17º
24º
21º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
21º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Norwich City
97
97
100%
Watford
91
91
100%
Brentford
87
87
100%
Swansea City
80
80
100%
Barnsley
78
78
100%
AFC Bournemouth
77
77
100%
Reading
70
70
100%
Cardiff City
68
68
50%
Queens Park Rangers
68
68
50%
Middlesbrough
10º
64
64
10º
100%
Millwall
11º
62
62
11º
50%
Luton Town
12º
62
62
12º
50%
Preston North End
13º
61
61
13º
100%
Stoke City
14º
60
60
14º
100%
Blackburn Rovers
15º
57
57
15º
100%
Coventry City
16º
55
55
16º
100%
Nottingham Forest
17º
52
52
17º
50%
Birmingham City
18º
52
52
18º
50%
Bristol City
19º
51
51
19º
100%
Huddersfield Town
20º
49
49
20º
100%
Derby County
21º
44
44
21º
100%
Wycombe Wanderers
22º
43
43
22º
100%
Rotherham United
23º
42
42
23º
100%
Sheffield Wednesday
24º
41
41
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Queens Park Rangers
Derby County
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Derby County
DER
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
Bristol City
BRI
Watford
WAT
Millwall
MIL
Huddersfield Town
HUR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
1%
X%
2%
ELO QPR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jan. 2021
CAR
Cardiff City
0 - 1
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
53%
24%
23%
1132 1421 289 +8
09 Mar. 2021
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
1 - 0
Wycombe Wanderers
WYC
58%
22%
19%
1132 515 617 0
12 Jan. 2021
LUT
Luton Town
0 - 2
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
47%
27%
26%
1131 1108 -23 0
09 Jan. 2021
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 2
Fulham
FUL
33%
27%
40%
1132 1843 -711 -10
29 Dec. 2020
NOR
Norwich City
1 - 1
Queens Park Rangers
QPR
64%
20%
16%
1128 1919 791 +4

Matches

Derby County
Derby County
1%
X%
2%
ELO DER ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2021
DER
Derby County
1 - 0
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
33%
28%
39%
1362 1975 -613 +8
16 Jan. 2021
DER
Derby County
0 - 1
Rotherham United
ROT
61%
22%
17%
1371 752 619 -9
09 Jan. 2021
CHO
Chorley
2 - 0
Derby County
DER
24%
24%
52%
1402 339 -1063 -30
01 Jan. 2021
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 0
Derby County
DER
47%
27%
26%
1405 1404 -1 -6
29 Dec. 2020
BIR
Birmingham City
0 - 4
Derby County
DER
40%
28%
32%
1396 1083 -313 +10