Queens Park Rangers vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
29.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queens Park Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
QPR
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2021 |
LUT
0 - 2
QPR
63%
21%
16%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
QPR
0 - 2
FUL
30%
25%
45%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
QPR
72%
18%
10%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2020 |
QPR
0 - 2
SWA
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
DER
1 - 0
BOU
17%
23%
60%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
DER
0 - 1
ROT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CHO
2 - 0
DER
6%
15%
78%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2021 |
SHW
1 - 0
DER
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
BIR
0 - 4
DER
38%
26%
35%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |