Queen of the South vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
54.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
AYR
0 - 3
QOS
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
QOS
2 - 3
BLA
53%
24%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
QOS
3 - 1
HAM
38%
25%
37%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
RAI
1 - 2
QOS
65%
19%
16%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2022 |
KIL
1 - 0
QOS
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2022 |
STJ
0 - 0
BLA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 2
COV
43%
26%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
CIV
1 - 1
STJ
7%
17%
76%
|
70 | 34 | 36 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
ABE
1 - 1
STJ
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
STJ
4 - 0
ICT
39%
27%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |