Queen of the South vs Kelty Hearts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
51
5º
10º
6º
40
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 58 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
47.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
41.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 52 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 51 |
7º
|
63.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Queen of the South
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 3
QOS
62%
20%
18%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 3
MON
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
5 - 0
QOS
58%
24%
19%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
ALL
1 - 2
QOS
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
QOS
2 - 1
PET
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Kelty Hearts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
KHE
2 - 1
PET
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
EDI
2 - 2
KHE
42%
25%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 1
ALL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KHE
0 - 0
CLY
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DUN
0 - 0
KHE
66%
21%
13%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |