Quart B vs Verges analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
40.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Quart B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PER
3 - 5
QUA
36%
22%
42%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
QUA
0 - 6
SGI
34%
22%
44%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
MED
1 - 1
QUA
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
QUA
1 - 2
BEL
53%
21%
26%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
JAF
2 - 2
QUA
19%
20%
61%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Verges
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
VER
2 - 0
SAC
58%
20%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
0 - 2
VER
26%
22%
53%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
VER
6 - 1
SAG
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
PON
3 - 0
VER
73%
15%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VER
2 - 2
SPA
36%
22%
42%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |