Qizilqum vs Neftchi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
24.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qizilqum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
MAS
3 - 1
QIZ
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
QIZ
2 - 1
MET
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
NAV
1 - 1
QIZ
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
QIZ
0 - 0
AND
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2008 |
BUN
1 - 0
QIZ
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Neftchi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
NEF
1 - 0
PAK
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2008 |
NEF
2 - 1
BUN
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2008 |
UDJ
1 - 1
NEF
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
NEF
4 - 2
DSA
56%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FKL
4 - 1
NEF
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |