Qingdao Red Lions vs Taian Tiankuang analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
1º
4º
2º
18
2º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
|
2º
|
31 | 31 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
20 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 11 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 4 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qingdao Red Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
QFC
1 - 0
NHC
13%
21%
66%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
MON
0 - 1
QFC
44%
23%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
QFC
1 - 0
QYF
18%
24%
58%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
QFC
0 - 2
ZQF
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
YGT
0 - 1
QFC
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Taian Tiankuang
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TTF
1 - 1
ZQF
61%
22%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TTF
0 - 2
DUF
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
WWF
3 - 1
TTF
43%
26%
31%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
DTF
1 - 0
TTF
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TTF
0 - 1
YAN
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |