Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 4-2
Qarabağ vs Wisla Kraków analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
39.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
WIS
0 - 1
QAR
65%
21%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
1 - 1
POR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
POR
1 - 2
QAR
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
MET
1 - 1
QAR
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
QAR
4 - 1
MET
58%
24%
17%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wisla Kraków
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2010 |
WIS
0 - 1
QAR
65%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2010 |
WIS
5 - 0
FAS
64%
21%
16%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2010 |
FAS
0 - 2
WIS
29%
26%
45%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
WIS
1 - 1
OWD
66%
21%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2010 |
CRA
1 - 1
WIS
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |