Qarabağ vs Shamakhi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+60%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
2º
1º
25
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
VKP
2 - 1
QAR
71%
17%
12%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
VKP
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SUM
0 - 2
QAR
27%
27%
46%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2022 |
FTC
1 - 3
QAR
60%
21%
18%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SEB
73%
18%
10%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
SEB
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
FKQ
3 - 1
SHA
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKN
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
ZIR
0 - 0
SHA
56%
24%
19%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
FKQ
27%
26%
46%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |