Qarabağ vs Neftçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
83
1º
6º
1º
56
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
83 | 83 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 36 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SUM
1 - 0
QAR
36%
26%
39%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 1
FKN
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
2 - 2
FKQ
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SFK
3 - 2
QAR
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 2
SEB
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Neftçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
TUR
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
QAR
4 - 1
FKN
56%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ZIR
3 - 1
FKN
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
3 - 0
ARA
50%
25%
25%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FKN
1 - 1
SUM
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |