Purmersteijn vs Alphense Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.3%
17%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
8º
3º
32
8º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 48 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 22 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 15 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
14 | 14 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Purmersteijn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
VKW
0 - 2
PUR
20%
22%
59%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 0
PUR
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PUR
0 - 0
HOO
21%
21%
58%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
VOC
1 - 1
PUR
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PUR
2 - 2
HBS
25%
24%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Alphense Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
ALP
1 - 3
HOL
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
HOO
4 - 1
ALP
78%
14%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ALP
2 - 1
VOC
51%
21%
28%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
HBS
2 - 2
ALP
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
ALP
0 - 0
BEQ
21%
22%
57%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |