Puerto Montt vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
PUE
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
UNI
41%
27%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
NUB
4 - 0
PUE
74%
17%
9%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
NTA
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
UCO
1 - 2
PUE
83%
12%
5%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 1
LOT
59%
22%
19%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
CON
1 - 0
NUB
23%
24%
52%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
CON
46%
26%
28%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CON
3 - 2
CUR
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2012 |
NUB
2 - 1
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | -1 |