Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUE
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 2
SNL
36%
27%
38%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TIG
0 - 3
PUE
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
PUE
3 - 3
SAN
24%
24%
52%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ATS
2 - 1
PUE
59%
24%
18%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
AME
0 - 1
TOL
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
2 - 2
ATL
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CHI
1 - 0
TOL
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
TOL
0 - 2
PAC
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |