Puch vs Grödig analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
57.3%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
13º
8º
53
2º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
76 | 76 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 38 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 8 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
USC
3 - 2
PUC
47%
22%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
PUC
0 - 8
SEE
12%
19%
69%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -3 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
KUC
2 - 0
PUC
78%
14%
8%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
PUC
3 - 2
UFV
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
BUR
2 - 4
PUC
54%
22%
24%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Grödig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
GRO
4 - 1
SKA
87%
10%
3%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 1
USC
66%
19%
16%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
SEE
2 - 1
GRO
70%
17%
13%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2024 |
GRO
3 - 0
KUC
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +4 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
UFV
0 - 0
GRO
36%
22%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |