UCL Group B Round 4

PSV vs Wolfsburg analysis

PSV Wolfsburg
83 ELO 89
6.9% Tilt 32.7%
105º General ELO ranking 43º
Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
21.9%
PSV
23%
Draw
55%
Wolfsburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
PSV
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
55%
Win probability
Wolfsburg
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
PSV
+6%
-5%
Wolfsburg

ELO progression

PSV
Wolfsburg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

PSV
PSV
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2015
GRA
De Graafschap
3 - 6
PSV
PSV
10%
18%
72%
82 59 23 0
27 Oct. 2015
PSV
PSV
6 - 0
Genemuiden
GEN
85%
11%
4%
83 38 45 -1
24 Oct. 2015
TWE
Twente
1 - 3
PSV
PSV
29%
24%
47%
82 77 5 +1
21 Oct. 2015
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 0
PSV
PSV
65%
19%
16%
83 89 6 -1
17 Oct. 2015
PSV
PSV
1 - 1
Excelsior
EXC
70%
19%
11%
83 71 12 0

Matches

Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
31 Oct. 2015
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 1
B. Leverkusen
LEV
50%
24%
26%
89 89 0 0
27 Oct. 2015
WOL
Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Bayern München
BYM
25%
23%
52%
89 93 4 0
24 Oct. 2015
DAR
Darmstadt 98
0 - 1
Wolfsburg
WOL
16%
22%
63%
89 79 10 0
21 Oct. 2015
WOL
Wolfsburg
2 - 0
PSV
PSV
65%
19%
16%
89 83 6 0
17 Oct. 2015
WOL
Wolfsburg
4 - 2
Hoffenheim
HOF
60%
21%
19%
89 85 4 0