PSV vs Willem II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
BVO
1 - 2
PSV
15%
19%
66%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 1
AJA
44%
24%
32%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
1 - 2
LEI
48%
23%
29%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 0
RKC
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2022 |
LEI
0 - 0
PSV
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Willem II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 0
VIT
14%
22%
64%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2022 |
GAE
4 - 0
WIL
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
FEY
2 - 0
WIL
78%
15%
7%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 2
AZA
8%
17%
75%
|
64 | 86 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
WIL
43%
24%
33%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |