PSV vs Raków Częstochowa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PSV
0 - 1
AZA
56%
22%
23%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
AJA
1 - 2
PSV
48%
22%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
BOG
1 - 2
PSV
26%
21%
53%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
3 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
PSV
2 - 0
ARS
32%
24%
45%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Raków Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ZAL
1 - 2
RAK
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
POG
0 - 1
RAK
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RAK
7 - 1
PLO
45%
25%
31%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
LPO
1 - 2
RAK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RAK
1 - 0
KOR
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |